Mitchell: Tesla numbers still don’t add up for huge tax break

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Tesla battery plant near Sparks (Photo by James Glover II, Reuters)

Tesla battery plant near Sparks (Photo by James Glover II, Reuters)

Thomas(Thomas Mitchell) – Apparently, what Tesla Motors lacks in profit, it makes up for in volume.

The company’s stock increased 10 percent Wednesday following a lackluster third quarter report. It sold fewer cars than anticipated this past quarter, but projects more this next quarter, so the price went up. Tesla logged a loss of 58 cents a share.

Investor’s must be like the Nevada Legislature. Never mind actual performance, it is the blue sky promises that count.

That’s why the governor and the Legislature cut a deal with Tesla for its new battery manufacturing facility to operate tax-free for a decade if it invests $3.5 billion. The deal eventually amounts to tax exemptions and credits totaling $1.3 billion. The state also agreed to spend $100 million to build a highway linking the site to U.S. Highway 50 in Lyon County. It has been estimated that the deal equals $385,000 per job.

A Seeking Alpha analyst reports that Tesla lost nearly $20,000 per vehicle in Q3, up from about $11,000 a car a year ago. The company’s negative free cash flow was $51,344 per car sold.

Tesla hopes its gigafactory will be able to cut the price of batteries for its cars from $500 per kWh to $250. The company’s Model S is equipped with an 85 kWh battery pack. That could save $21,000 and make the cars break even? That’s a business model to envy — break even.

A competitor intends to build batteries for $100 per kWh.

 

Mr. Mitchell publishes the 4TH ST8 Blog at www.4thst8.wordpress.com.

The column was originally published at Mr. Mitchell’s blog.