The Donald Trump Impact: Not so Inevitable After All

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Will the Donald Trump immigration comments linger? (Photo by Bill Clark, CQ Roll Call)

Will the Donald Trump immigration comments linger? (Photo by Bill Clark, CQ Roll Call)

(Stuart Rothenberg of Roll Call) – I was surprised by the near-unanimity over the weekend about the impact of the Donald Trump comments about Mexican immigrants. Almost every disinterested political observer agreed Trump’s typically over-the-top remarks were certain to hurt GOP prospects in the 2016 presidential election.

I am skeptical about that.

Once again, too many observers got caught up in the events of the day and, because of that, failed to put current developments into a larger context, thereby exaggerating Trump’s likely effect on next year’s elections.

Trump’s comments reflected silly stereotypes that demonized an entire people. But he didn’t make millions and become a celebrity by being delicate, humble or otherwise measured in his rhetoric.

He is, as I wrote a few weeks ago, a carnival barker, not a serious, thoughtful observer of American politics and culture. And he isn’t a credible contender for the Republican presidential nomination in this or any other century.

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